I read an interesting article in the paper today which stated that currently it was cheaper to buy than to rent. How nice J
The realities are, in my opinion, that yes while you can buy properties and service mortgages much cheaper than you could last year, you cannot necessarily buy where you want to live. And believe me, living in the preferred location seems to be more important to people I talk to than their ability to afford it. Now the only place in Wellington I can see it being cheaper to buy than to rent is the central suburbs. In the outer suburbs, it would be hard to buy something where the rent on current purchase prices even came close to the mortgage amount. (Though admittedly if there’s one man who could find the place where this would work would be Steve Goodey www.ventureproperty.co.nz. (Don’t ask me how he finds the deals, he just does). However, I don’t believe what the article stated works in the central suburbs as a general rule either.
Say for example we have chap called Bob who wants to live in the city. Bob can rent a one bedroom apartment for between $370 to $420 per week or $19,240 to $21,840 per year. Now Bob can buy this apartment for $300,000 dollars with 20% down so Bob has a mortgage of $260,000. At the current National Bank floating rate of 6.45%, Bob’s repayments are $16,770 per year – seems cheaper right? Not really, take into account Bob’s rates of say $1700 per year, his bodycorp fees of about $3500 per year and Bob is already spending more than what he would if he was renting. Then we add in some money for maintenance, and hey presto, it’s cheaper to rent by several thousand dollars per year.
It also says in this article that house prices will fall further. I wait to see if this is indeed the case. But even if they do, how long before they are higher than they were last year? How long will the low interest rates last? Banks have already raised their five year rates and I can only believe this will continue. The banks have to try to gauge what their cost of borrowing over the next five years will be, and as far as I can tell, they expect it go up, up, up. Which means so do the mortgage rates.
I do not believe that there will be a rush of tenants buying properties, and thus creating a glut of empty rental properties. Most people, let alone your tenants, do not have fifty to eighty thousand dollars just lying around in the bank, so meeting the 20% deposit mark is not all that easy. They also have to find the place they want to live in, and having been through this exercise a year ago, it’s not an easy thing!
Shayne Thurston
Lambton Property Management
Shayne's blog, Thoughts and Opinions